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  4. Towards Practical Model-Based Decision Making. Building Trust in Optimal Experimental Design and Enabling Surrogate Model Reusability
 
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2026
Doctoral Thesis
Title

Towards Practical Model-Based Decision Making. Building Trust in Optimal Experimental Design and Enabling Surrogate Model Reusability

Abstract
Model-based decision making is a cornerstone of modern chemical process engineering, essential for tasks ranging from process design to real-time optimization. However, its widespread application is often hindered by two major bottlenecks: the high cost of experimental data collection for model calibration and the computational burden of rigorous process simulations. To bridge the gap between theory and practice, this thesis advances two critical methodologies: Optimal Experimental Design (OED) and Surrogate Modeling.
Addressing the need for experimental efficiency, this work establishes trust in OED through a wet-lab benchmark study, demonstrating increased data efficiency over traditional factorial designs. It further introduces a novel cubature-based method for uncertainty quantification in nonlinear models. To tackle the lack of reusability in surrogate modeling, the thesis proposes a custom modelfluid representation. This enables the training of a distillation column surrogate that generalizes across chemical systems. Together, these contributions provide a synergistic framework for more efficient and scalable model-based engineering.
Thesis Note
Zugl.: Kaiserslautern, TU, Diss., 2026
Author(s)
Bubel, Martin
Fraunhofer-Institut für Techno- und Wirtschaftsmathematik ITWM  
Publisher
Fraunhofer Verlag  
Open Access
File(s)
Download (6.06 MB)
Link
Link
Rights
CC BY 4.0: Creative Commons Attribution
DOI
10.24406/publica-7824
Language
English
Fraunhofer-Institut für Techno- und Wirtschaftsmathematik ITWM  
Keyword(s)
  • Optimal experimental design

  • Surrogate modeling

  • Uncertainty quantification

  • modelfluid representation

  • distillation

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