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  4. Estimation and aggregation of wind power forecasts utilizing master data and zero-shot learning
 
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2024
Journal Article
Title

Estimation and aggregation of wind power forecasts utilizing master data and zero-shot learning

Abstract
The increasing integration of renewable energy, particularly wind power, necessitates enhanced forecast accuracy for effective grid management. Traditional methods that project wind power forecasts from a limited number of reference wind parks to larger grid areas often struggle with insufficient measurement data. We propose a zero-shot learning model utilizing publicly available wind park master data and local weather forecasts to generate locally distributed forecasts at new locations without prior training. This approach employs multi-task learning to embed parks based on master data, enabling comprehensive coverage when projecting forecasts across all wind parks. Our method, validated with field data, significantly improves forecast accuracy at the transmission system operator (TSO) control zone level compared to traditional methods and physical models, offering a robust solution for the growing demands of renewable energy forecasting.
Author(s)
Beinert, Dominik  
Fraunhofer-Institut für Energiewirtschaft und Energiesystemtechnik IEE  
Schütz, Johannes Maximilian Franz
Fraunhofer-Institut für Energiewirtschaft und Energiesystemtechnik IEE  
Braun, Axel  
Fraunhofer-Institut für Energiewirtschaft und Energiesystemtechnik IEE  
Journal
IET Conference Proceedings  
Conference
Wind & Solar Integration Workshop 2024  
File(s)
2024-079_DoB_WISO2024.pdf (394.21 KB)
Rights
Under Copyright
DOI
10.24406/h-477892
10.1049/icp.2024.3828
Language
English
Fraunhofer-Institut für Energiewirtschaft und Energiesystemtechnik IEE  
Keyword(s)
  • zero-shot learning

  • transfer learning

  • power forecast aggregation

  • multi-task learning

  • master data

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