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  4. Scenario based evaluation of policies addressing the German heating and cooling sector: A bottom-up modeling approach integrating buildings, industry and district heating
 
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2013
Conference Paper
Title

Scenario based evaluation of policies addressing the German heating and cooling sector: A bottom-up modeling approach integrating buildings, industry and district heating

Abstract
Energy demand for heating and cooling represents the largest energy use sector in Germany. Measures to enhance energy efficiency of buildings and industry processes are often considered as a cost-effective opportunity to reduce energy demand and carbon dioxide emissions. Nevertheless, realized improvements in energy efficiency have failed to live up to expectations in the past few years considering its attributed potential; raising the question if the targets regarding energy efficiency and renewable heating and cooling set by the German government are still feasible. This paper presents a variety of scenarios for the German heating and cooling sector up to 2020 using an exploratory modeling approach. Each scenario considers a certain set of different policy instruments which are analyzed by integrating four different techno-economic bottom-up sector models - INVERT/EE-Lab, Forecast-ProcIndustry, ProcServ and District heating/CHP model. The latter considers different building and settlement types to calculate the potential of district heating and CHP technologies subject to energy load of industry processes and buildings. The dynamic simulation model INVERT/EE-Lab is applied to simulate investment decisions in energy efficiency measures and evaluate different support schemes in the building sector. Forecast-ProcIndustry and ProcServ describes the energy demand of process heating and cooling in industry and the service sector, respectively.
Author(s)
Steinbach, Jan
Fraunhofer-Institut für System- und Innovationsforschung ISI  
Kranzl, Lukas
TU Wien
Müller, Andreas
TU Wien
Hummel, Marcus
TU Wien
Kockat, Judit
Fraunhofer-Institut für System- und Innovationsforschung ISI  
Herbst, Andrea  
Fraunhofer-Institut für System- und Innovationsforschung ISI  
Toro, Felipe
IREES Karlsruhe
Reitze, Felix
IREES Karlsruhe
Jochem, Eberhard  
IREES Karlsruhe
Fette, Max
Bremer Energie Institut
Schulz, Wolfgang
Bremer Energie Institut
Bürger, Veit
Öko-Institut e.V.
Mainwork
Rethink, renew, restart. eceee 2013 Summer Study. Proceedings  
Conference
European Council for an Energy-Efficient Economy (ECEEE Summer Study) 2013  
Language
English
Fraunhofer-Institut für System- und Innovationsforschung ISI  
Keyword(s)
  • policy evaluation

  • energy efficiency policy

  • bottom-up analysis

  • buildings

  • industrial process

  • renewable heating

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