Execution of ramp-up projects in day-to-day operations through a quantitative risk management approach

An approach to systematically identify and analyse delay risks in ramp-up projects of automotive manufacturers assuring scheduled ramp-up is discussed considering challenges of time-to-volume, increased quantity of ramp-up projects and increased complexity of products. It follows a multi-stage process based on the common risk management process. Within the first stage comprehensive risk identification in a preliminary process of ramp-up projects is conducted. The second stage includes any activities (risk management) to optimise ramp-up process with regards to delay risks. The approach was validated at an automotive manufacturer site within a ramp-up project of a new product. Results of the forecasting risk simulation and reality of open flaws are to a high degree consistent.