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  4. Prediction of stock prices with automated reinforced learning algorithms
 
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2025
Journal Article
Title

Prediction of stock prices with automated reinforced learning algorithms

Abstract
Predicting stock price movements remains a major challenge in time series analysis. Despite extensive research on various machine learning techniques, few models have consistently achieved success in automated stock trading. One of the main challenges in stock price forecasting is that the optimal model changes over time due to market dynamics. This paper aims to predict stock prices using automated reinforcement learning algorithms and to analyse their efficiency compared with conventional methods. We automate DQN models and their variants, known for their adaptability, by continuously retraining them using recent data to capture market dynamics. We demonstrate that our dynamic models improve the accuracy of predicting the directions of various DAX stocks from 50.00% to approximately 60.00%, compared with conventional methods. Additionally, we conclude that dynamic models should be updated in response to shifts rather than at fixed intervals.
Author(s)
Yasin, Said
Paschke, Adrian  
Freie Univ. Berlin  
Al Qundus, Jamal
Journal
Expert systems  
Open Access
DOI
10.1111/exsy.13725
Language
English
Fraunhofer-Institut für Offene Kommunikationssysteme FOKUS  
Keyword(s)
  • automation

  • deep Q-learning

  • reinforcement learning

  • stock price prediction

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