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Fraunhofer-Institut für System- und Innovationsforschung ISI
Future energy demand developments and demand side flexibility in a decarbonized centralized energy system
Fraunhofer-Gesellschaft
2021
,
Herbst, Andrea
,
Klingler, Anna-Lena
,
Heitel, Stephanie
,
Manz, Pia
,
Fleiter, Tobias
,
Rehfeldt, Matthias
,
Fermi, Francesca
,
Fiorello, Davide
,
Martino, Angelo
,
Reiter, Ulrich
European final energy consumption mainly stems from five sectors: transport, households, industry, residential, and agriculture using fossil fuels as dominant energy carriers. In order to achieve the climate targets, emissions in the demand sectors must be drastically reduced. Due to different characteristics and challenges each sector needs its own strategy how to achieve such decarbonization until 2050. In the following chapter, the impacts of an ambitious mitigation scenario on future energy demand and CO2 emissions for transport, industry, residential, and tertiary are analyzed discussing sector specific decarbonization strategies and mitigation options. Implications of such strategies for demand-side flexibility and its future need are analyzed.