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  4. Historical and future learning for the new era of multi-terawatt photovoltaics
 
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2025
Review
Title

Historical and future learning for the new era of multi-terawatt photovoltaics

Abstract
Solar photovoltaics (PV) is entering a new era of multi-terawatt deployment, with 2 TW already in service and more than 75 TW predicted in many scenarios by 2050. This next era has been enabled by over five decades of cumulative advances in PV module cost reduction, performance and reliability. The current scale of deployment also introduces new needs, opportunities and challenges. In this Perspective we frame a path forwards based on learning, broadly defined as a combination of expansion of knowledge and advances through research and development, experience and collaboration. We discuss historical topics where learning has driven PV deployment until now, and emerging areas that are required to sustain high levels of future deployment. We expect progress to continue in terms of module price, performance and reliability, driven by advances in PV cell and module design, the emergence of tandem devices and increased focus on extending module lifetimes. Large-scale deployment also means large-scale sustainability and responsibility. We therefore posit that additional metrics, such as the impact on global CO2 emissions, resource consumption and design for reuse and recycling, will become increasingly important to the PV industry and provide opportunities for further learning.
Author(s)
Alberi, Kirstin
National Renewable Energy Laboratory
Marius Peters, Ian Marius
Forschungszentrum Jülich GmbH
Verlinden, Pierre Jacques
Yangtze Institute for Solar Technology
Philipps, Simon  
Fraunhofer-Institut für Solare Energiesysteme ISE  
Koike, Akio
AGC Inc.
Barnes, Teresa M.
National Renewable Energy Laboratory
Berry, Joel J.
National Renewable Energy Laboratory
Bertoni, Mariana I.
Arizona State University
Breyer, Christian
LUT University
Burnham, Laurie M.
Sandia National Laboratories, New Mexico
Case, Chris
Oxford Photovoltaics Ltd
Chen, Yifeng
Trina Solar Co., Ltd.
De Wolf, Stefaan
King Abdullah University of Science and Technology
Egan, Renate J.
UNSW Sydney
Froitzheim, Armin
AMFutureTech
Gatz, Sebastian
VON ARDENNE GmbH
Gloeckler, Markus
First Solar, Inc.
Goldschmidt, Jan Christoph
Philipps-Universität Marburg
Gordon, Ivan
Universiteit Hasselt
Haegel, Nancy M.
National Renewable Energy Laboratory
Hermle, Martin  
Fraunhofer-Institut für Solare Energiesysteme ISE  
Honsberg, Christiana Honsberg
Arizona State University
Hsi, Edward
Swiss Re
Huber, Bill
First Solar, Inc.
Ishizuka, Shogo
National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology
Jäger-Waldau, Arnulf
European Commission Joint Research Centre
Jean, Joel
Swift Solar Inc.
Jiang, Yajie
UNSW Sydney
Jurca, Shannon
Nippon Sheet Glass Co., Ltd.
Kaizuka, Izumi
RT Corporation
King, Richard R.
Arizona State University
Komoto, Keiichi
Mizuho Research & Technologies Ltd.
Kondo, Michio
National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology
Kulkarni, Milind
Renaissance Solar and Electronic Materials (RSOLEC)
Kurtz, Sarah R.
UC Merced
Macdonald, Daniel H.
The Australian National University
Merfeld, Danielle
Hanwha Qcells
Kobayashi, Naoya
AGC Inc.
Niki, Shigeru
JERA Americas Inc.
Obst, Andreas
Fraunhofer-Institut für Solare Energiesysteme ISE  
Oozeki, Takashi
National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology
Paetzold, Ulrich Wilhelm
Karlsruher Institut für Technologie, Campus Nord
Pickering, Jonathan
NexWafe GmbH
Preu, Ralf  
Fraunhofer-Institut für Solare Energiesysteme ISE  
Reese, Samantha Bench
National Renewable Energy Laboratory
Reichel, Christian  
Fraunhofer-Institut für Solare Energiesysteme ISE  
Reindl, Thomas Guenter
National University of Singapore
Repins, Ingrid L.
National Renewable Energy Laboratory
Ronoh, Geoffrey
OFGEN
Rose, Doug
Maxeon Solar Technologies
Sakurai, Keiichiro
National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology
Schlatmann, Rutger
Helmholtz-Zentrum Berlin für Materialien und Energie (HZB)
Slaoui, Adelilah
Laboratoire des Sciences de l'Ingénieur, de l'Informatique et de l'Imagerie
Sinton, Ronald A.
Sinton Instruments Inc.
Soni, Kamal K.
Corning Incorporated
Stanbery, Billy J.
University of Washington
Sutija, Davor
NexWafe GmbH
Topic, Marko
Univerza v Ljubljani
Ueda, Yuzuru
Tokyo University of Science
Vasi, Juzer M.
Indian Institute of Technology Bombay
Wambach, Karsten
Bifa Umweltinstitut GmbH
Warren, Emily L.
National Renewable Energy Laboratory
Weber, Eicke R.
University of California, Berkeley
Yamaguchi, Masafum
Toyota Group
Bett, Andreas W.  
Fraunhofer-Institut für Solare Energiesysteme ISE  
Journal
Nature energy  
DOI
10.1038/s41560-025-01929-z
Language
English
Fraunhofer-Institut für Solare Energiesysteme ISE  
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