KliWiSt - Predicting future wind speeds based on climate model data and MCP methods

▪ State-of-the-Art (TR6-Rev.10): Assumption of persistence of past wind climate (+ maybe additional uncertainty) ▪ Still valid? ▪ Timing of energy production (e.g. by time of day and season) becomes more crucial ▪ How to improve? ▪ Include future climate information in wind resource assessment ▪ Perform time series analysis in addition to mean values → Data based uncertainty estimation → Analysis of seasons and time of day possible Motivation High resolution time series-based analysis Copernicus Interactive Climate Atlas