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2020
Presentation
Titel

Future regional distribution of electric vehicles in Germany

Titel Supplements
Published on Zenodo
Abstract
Electrification as an option to decarbonize road transport leads to an increasing number of electric vehicles in Germany. However, the stock of electric vehicles is not evenly distributed regionally. The local distribution of electric vehicles is particularly important from an energy system perspective in order to be able to estimate future grid loads. Here, we use multiple linear regression to distribute a German-wide market diffusion of electric vehicles to 401 NUTS3-areas in Germany. Current regional vehicle stocks and regional development data (e.g. population, income, and spatial structure) are used as independent variables. We combine these variables with forecasts for spatial development and obtain a regionalized electric vehicle market diffusion for Germany. First results suggest a concentration of BEV and PHEV stocks in southwestern Germany and in large cities in the medium-term future.
Author(s)
Speth, Daniel orcid-logo
Fraunhofer-Institut fĂĽr System- und Innovationsforschung ISI
Gnann, Till orcid-logo
Fraunhofer-Institut fĂĽr System- und Innovationsforschung ISI
Plötz, Patrick orcid-logo
Fraunhofer-Institut fĂĽr System- und Innovationsforschung ISI
Wietschel, Martin
Fraunhofer-Institut fĂĽr System- und Innovationsforschung ISI
George, Jan F. orcid-logo
Fraunhofer-Institut fĂĽr System- und Innovationsforschung ISI
Konferenz
International Electric Vehicle Symposium & Exhibition (EVS) 2020
DOI
10.5281/zenodo.4026722
File(s)
N-605878.pdf (1.57 MB)
Language
English
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Fraunhofer-Institut fĂĽr System- und Innovationsforschung ISI
Tags
  • electric vehicle (EV)

  • fleet

  • market development

  • modeling

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