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  4. Mortality Modeling: Machine Learning and Mortality Shocks
 
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2022
Doctoral Thesis
Title

Mortality Modeling: Machine Learning and Mortality Shocks

Abstract
This thesis offers a thorough review of stochastic mortality models, including various calibration and forecasting procedures. As a new contribution to the literature, machine learning methods are applied, yielding fresh perspectives on mortality data and improved forecasting performance. Benefits of classical models such as interpretability and prediction uncertainty quantification are preserved as much as possible or even enhanced.
Thesis Note
Zugl.: Kaiserslautern, TU, Diss., 2022
Author(s)
Schnürch, Simon  
Fraunhofer-Institut für Techno- und Wirtschaftsmathematik ITWM  
Publisher
Fraunhofer Verlag  
DOI
10.24406/publica-192
File(s)
1831-8_Schnuerch_ePrint.pdf (14.16 MB)
Rights
Under Copyright
Language
English
Fraunhofer-Institut für Techno- und Wirtschaftsmathematik ITWM  
Keyword(s)
  • Mortality modeling

  • Machine learning

  • Mortality shocks

  • Lee-Carter model

  • Neural networks

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