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  4. The futures of artificial intelligence. Implications for Europe’s R&I ecosystem. Part 4: Scenarios and opportunities
 
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2026
Report
Title

The futures of artificial intelligence. Implications for Europe’s R&I ecosystem. Part 4: Scenarios and opportunities

Abstract
The project Futures of Artificial Intelligence (AI) aims at exploring future contexts and the potential development of AI until 2040. To allow open imagination in the context of AI - will the EU be an AI leader or are we facing an ‘AI winter’? - five different, possible scenarios of AI were built. Three of the scenarios served as think pieces and were used to discuss implications for the European Commission’s research and innovation (R&I) policy regarding threats, opportunities, stakes and potential actions. The results were used in formulating recommendations for EU R&I policy and AI ecosystems.
Author(s)
Cuhls, Kerstin  orcid-logo
Fraunhofer-Institut für System- und Innovationsforschung ISI  
Erdmann, Lorenz  orcid-logo
Fraunhofer-Institut für System- und Innovationsforschung ISI  
Gutknecht, Ralph  orcid-logo
Fraunhofer-Institut für System- und Innovationsforschung ISI  
Banchs-Piqué, Miquel  orcid-logo
Fraunhofer-Institut für System- und Innovationsforschung ISI  
Ciliberti, Alba
Fraunhofer-Institut für System- und Innovationsforschung ISI  
Corporate Author
European Commission, Directorate-General for Research and Innovation  
Publisher
Publications Office of the European Union  
Open Access
File(s)
Download (2.31 MB)
Rights
CC BY 4.0: Creative Commons Attribution
DOI
10.2777/2501295
10.24406/publica-8547
Language
English
Fraunhofer-Institut für System- und Innovationsforschung ISI  
Keyword(s)
  • Artificial intelligence

  • EU research policy

  • Foresight

  • Innovation

  • New technology

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