Stability of cooperation in the international climate negotiations

International cooperation on greenhouse gas emission reductions is needed to avoid dangerous climate change. This thesis analyses the stability of global cooperation on climate change using cooperative game theory. Numerical and theoretical models are applied to evaluate the impact of several real-world properties: international economic effects, different pathways of future technological development, the influence of technological uncertainty on decision making, the influence of uncertainty about climate damages on decision making, and cooperation in non-global groups. It is shown that the introduction of these properties into the game-theoretical model substantially affects the results and can make global climate cooperation unstable.