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  4. Baseload power plants are not essential for future power systems
 
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2026
Journal Article
Title

Baseload power plants are not essential for future power systems

Abstract
The transition to decarbonized energy systems has fueled a controversial debate over the necessity of traditional "baseload" power. Skepticism remains regarding the reliability and economic feasibility of power systems relying mainly on cheap variable renewable energy (VRE) sources. Addressing this, the German Academies' project "Energy Systems of the Future" (ESYS) analyzed the role of baseload power plants within a decarbonized, continental-scale energy system. Their findings indicate that a secure, net-zero European electricity system is technically robust and economically viable when based on VRE paired with extensive flexibility, storage, and grid interconnections, without requiring new baseload capacity. The integration of new low-carbon baseload technologies, such as nuclear fission or fusion, natural gas with carbon capture and storage (CCS), or geothermal energy, has a marginal impact on overall system costs. While low-cost baseload technologies could be efficiently integrated to achieve high utilization, their future role is contingent on achieving cost reductions beyond current realities.
Author(s)
Weidlich, Anke
University of Freiburg, INATECH
Stöcker, Philipp
acatech, ESYS Project Office
Pittel, Karen
ifo Zentrum für Energie, Klima und Ressourcen
Luderer, Christoph  orcid-logo
Fraunhofer-Institut für System- und Innovationsforschung ISI  
Drake, Frank-Detlef
E.ON Energy Research Center gGmbH
Erlach, Berit
acatech, ESYS Project Office
Fischedick, Manfred
Wuppertal Institut für Klima, Umwelt, Energie gGmbH
Kiewitt, Wilhelm
50Hertz Transmission GmbH
Henning, Hans-Martin  
Fraunhofer-Institut für Solare Energiesysteme ISE  
Hanson, Jutta
Technische Universität Darmstadt  
Kreusel, Jochen
Hitachi Energy Germany AG
Moser, Albert
RWTH Aachen, Institut für Elektrische Anlagen und Netze, Digitalisierung und Energiewirtschaft -IAEW-
Münch, Wolfram
EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG, Karlsruhe
Reuter, Albrecht
Fichtner IT Consulting GmbH
Sauer, Dirk Uwe
RWTH Aachen, Institute for Power Generation and Storage Systems -PGS-
Schill, Wolf-Peter
Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung -DIW-, Berlin  
Sensfuß, Frank  
Fraunhofer-Institut für System- und Innovationsforschung ISI  
Spliethoff, Hartmut
Technische Universität München, Lehrstuhl für Energiesysteme
Stephanos, Cyril
acatech, ESYS Project Office
Weber, Christoph
Universität Duisburg-Essen, Lehrstuhl für Managementwissenschaft und Energieökonomie
Wurbs, Sven
acatech, ESYS Project Office
Journal
Cell reports. Physical science  
Open Access
File(s)
Download (1.87 MB)
Rights
CC BY 4.0: Creative Commons Attribution
DOI
10.1016/j.xcrp.2025.103050
10.24406/publica-7063
Additional link
Full text
Language
English
Fraunhofer-Institut für System- und Innovationsforschung ISI  
Fraunhofer-Institut für Solare Energiesysteme ISE  
Keyword(s)
  • Energy system

  • Baseload power plant

  • Firm capacity

  • Variable renewable energy

  • Hydrogen economy

  • Defossilization

  • Decarbonization

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