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Market potential for electric vehicles in the German commercial passenger transport sector

: Gnann, Till; Haag, Michael; Plötz, Patrick; Wietschel, Martin

Fulltext urn:nbn:de:0011-n-2706802 (1.2 MByte PDF)
MD5 Fingerprint: c47df6e0c87e74efe85f2227fbc27305
Created on: 12.12.2013

Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers -IEEE-:
World Electric Vehicle Symposium and Exhibition, EVS 2013 : 17-20 November 2013, Barcelona, Spain
Piscataway, NJ: IEEE, 2013
ISBN: 978-1-4799-3833-9 (Print)
ISBN: 978-1-4799-3832-2
10 pp.
World Electric Vehicle Symposium and Exhibition (EVS) <27, 2013, Barcelona>
Conference Paper, Electronic Publication
Fraunhofer ISI ()
Fraunhofer IAO ()
commercial market; transport; PHEV (plug in hybrid electric vehicle); BEV (battery electric vehicles)

Commercial transport is often referred to as an early market for plug-in electric vehicles (PEVs). In comparison to private transport, commercial transport with passenger cars is characterized by higher vehicle kilometers traveled (VKT) forming an important factor for a quick pay-off of PEVs. In this paper, we analyze multi-day driving profiles of German passenger cars and light-duty commercial vehicles from the commercial transport sector. These commercial vehicles amount to almost two thirds of the annual vehicle registrations in Germany and thus form an important market segment. Our analysis shows that about 30 % of German commercial vehicles could be economically operated as PEVs in 2020. However, it becomes apparent that energy and battery prices have a high impact on the future market share of plug-in electric vehicles in this segment.