Under CopyrightArilla, C.C.ArillaArmbruster, H.H.ArmbrusterButter, M.M.ButterDreher, C.C.DreherJohansson, B.B.JohanssonJung Erceg, P.P.Jung ErcegSchirrmeister, E.E.SchirrmeisterStanworth, R.R.StanworthWarnke, P.P.WarnkeSchmitt, S.S.Schmitt2022-03-0722.08.20062005https://publica.fraunhofer.de/handle/publica/29271910.24406/publica-fhg-2927191 Introduction S.1 - 1.1 Aim of the ManVis Project S.1-XLIX - 1.2 ManVis Report No. 3 - Final Report S.1 Contents S.2-4 2 Dynamics and Foresight of Technological Developments in Manufacturing S.5-27 - 2.1 Dynamics of Technologies in Manufacturing and Foresight S.5-7 - 2.2 Prospects of Product Technologies S.8-11 - 2.3 Prospects of Process Technologies S.12-18 - 2.4 Prospects of Flexible Automation S.18-23 - 2.5 Summarising Messages on Technology Development S.24-27 3 Sectoral Analysis S.28-101 - 3.1 Introduction S.28-29 - 3.2 Machinery S.29-40 - 3.2.1 About the Sector S.29 - 3.2.2 The Delphi Statements S.29-30 - 3.2.3 Delphi Results S.30-39 - 3.2.4 Conclusions S.40 - 3.3 Fabricated Metal Products S.40-50 - 3.3.1 About the Sector S.40 - 3.3.2 The Delphi Statements S.41-42 - 3.3.3 Delphi Results S.42-45 - 3.3.4 Conclusions S.46-50 - 3.4 Electronics, Electrical Equipment and Instruments S.50-67 - 3.4.1 About the Sector S.50-51 - 3.4.2 The Delphi Statements S.51-54 - 3.4.3 Delphi Results S.55-64 - 3.4.4 Conclusions S.65-67 - 3.5 Rubber and Plastics S.67-79 - 3.5.1 About the Sector S.67-68 - 3.5.2 The Delphi Statements S.69-72 - 3.5.3 Delphi Results S.73-76 - 3.5.4 Conclusions S.77-79 - 3.6 Traditional Products S.79-90 - 3.6.1 About the Sector S.79 - 3.6.3 Delphi Results S.79 - 3.6.2 The Delphi Statements S.80-88 - 3.6.4 Conclusions S.89-90 - 3.7 Transport Sector S.91-101 - 3.7.1 About the Sector S.91 - 3.7.2 The Delphi Statements S.91 - 3.7.3 Delphi Results S.92-101 - 3.7.4 Conclusions S.101 4 European Manufacturing in a Global Environment S.102-123 - 4.1 European Conditions for International Competition S.102-106 - 4.1.1 Lisbon Agreement as a Baseline S.102 - 4.1.2 Demographics and Current Working Hours S.103 - 4.1.3 Different Types of Relocation - A Definition S.104-106 - 4.2 Competition on Cost S.106-109 - 4.2.1 Impact of Working Methods on Offshoring S.106 - 4.2.2 Preventing Offshoring by Automation S.107 - 4.2.3 Environmental Legislation as a Potential Driver for Offshoring S.108 - 4.2.4 Subsidising to Prevent Offshoring S.109 - 4.3 Competition on Lead-Time and Knowledge Utilization S.110-113 - 4.3.1 Outsourcing S.110-111 - 4.3.2 Local Production S.112 - 4.3.3 Lead Markets and Industry Structure S.113 - 4.4 Competing with Innovation S.114-119 - 4.4.1 Innovation in the firms S.114-116 - 4.4.2 Comparing Europe Globally on Innovation Systems S.117-119 - 4.5 Conclusions and Recommendations S.119-123 5 Manufacturing and its Contribution to Environmental Sustainability S.124-141 - 5.1 Introduction and Outline of the Chapter S.124 - 5.2 Relevance of Sustainability for the Future of European Manufacturing S.125-126 - 5.3 Overview of Delphi Results S.127-139 - 5.3.1 Demand Side Issues S.127 - 5.3.2 Relevant Statements S.128-139 - 5.4 Conclusions S.140-141 6 Managing Knowledge in European Manufacturing S.142-169 - 6.1 Introduction S.142-147 - 6.1.1 Knowledge Management and Competitiveness S.143-144 - 6.1.2 Knowledge Management Activities S.144-146 - 6.2.1 Knowledge Management Activities S.147 - 6.2 Managing Knowledge in Manufacturing across Europe S.148-165 - 6.2.2 Working Conditions for Knowledge Management Activities S.160-165 - 6.3 Summary and Conclusions S.165-169 7 Future Innovations in the Manufacturing Industry - Cross-Checking ManVis Results against other Foresight Databases S.170-200 - 7.1 Introduction S.170-172 - 7.2 Analysis S.172-190 - 7.2.1 Introduction S.172 - 7.2.2 Important Emerging Social Issues S.173-179 - 7.2.3 Key Enabling Technologies and Research Areas S.180-184 - 7.2.4 Main Innovation Themes for Industries S.184-190 - 7.3 Reflection on ManVis Statements S.191-196 - 7.3.1 Science and Technology Developments and ManVis S.191-192 - 7.3.2 Global Socio-Economic Challenges and ManVis S.193-194 - 7.3.3 Innovation Trends and ManVis S.195-196 - 7.4 Final Conclusions S.197-200 - 7.4.1 Global Socio-Economic Challenges for Manufacturing S.197 - 7.4.2 Basic Research Paradigms for the Manufacturing Industry S.197-198 - 7.4.3 Main Innovation Themes for Manufacturing S.198 - 7.4.4 Reflection on ManVis Statements S.198-199 - 7.4.5 Final Conclusions S.200 8 Demand Perspectives on Manufacturing Visions. Insights from the Stakeholder Strand S.201-227 - 8.1 Introduction S.201-202 - 8.2 Relevance of the Demand Perspective for the Future of Manufacturing - Insights from the Academic Debate S.203 - 8.3 The Demand Side Aspects Shaping the Future of Manufacturing - Results from the Stakeholder Workshop S.204-227 - 8.3.1 Challenges to manufacturing arising from new demands on products S.205-217 - 8.3.2 Challenges to Manufacturing Arising from Emerging Demands on Working, Learning and Living Patterns S.217-227 9 Differences in the Future of Manufacturing between EU Member States S.228-XLVIII - 9.1 The Challenge of Enlargement S.228-229 - 9.2 On the Road from Resource-Based to Knowledge-Based Manufacture S.230-245 - 9.2.1 Emerging Product Technologies S.232-238 - 9.2.2 New Manufacturing Technologies S.239-241 - 9.2.3 Prospects of Flexible Automation S.242 - 9.2.4 Final Remarks S.243-245 - 9.3 Intensity of Cooperation - From Individual to System Competition S.246-263 - 9.3.1 Clusters, Networks, Cooperation S.248-256 - 9.3.2 Supporting Trends S.256-260 - 9.3.3 Conclusions S.260-263 - 9.4 Threat of Relocation of Manufacturing S.263 - 9.4.1 The Threat of Relocation S.263-267 - 9.4.2 Opposite Trends S.267 - 9.4.3 Final Remarks S.268en303600report