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  4. Hourly electricity load curve dataset for Chinese provinces derived from meteorological variables
 
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2026
Journal Article
Title

Hourly electricity load curve dataset for Chinese provinces derived from meteorological variables

Abstract
As the world's largest electricity consumer, China has long faced a shortage of publicly available electricity load data at a high temporal resolution. To address this limitation, this study leverages the strong correlation between electricity demand and meteorological conditions, as well as the broad accessibility of hourly weather data. By combining the limited publicly released load statistics from the National Development and Reform Commission with detailed hourly observations of temperature, wind speed, solar irradiance, and relative humidity, we estimated province-level power coefficients and threshold temperatures for both cooling and heating. These coefficients were then used to reconstruct hourly electricity load profiles for all provinces. The resulting dataset provides hourly electricity demand for 31 provincial-level regions across China for the period 2015-2024. Importantly, the proposed methodology is highly scalable and can be extended to any target year using annual electricity consumption data, air conditioner ownership per household, and corresponding hourly meteorological inputs. This dataset offers a valuable empirical foundation for research on electricity demand dynamics and long-term energy system planning in China.
Author(s)
Yi, Bowen
Beihang University, School of Economics & Management
Luo, Qian
Beihang University, School of Economics & Management
Zhang, Shaohui
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg  
Ji, Yulu
Beihang University, School of Economics & Management
Yu, Songmin  orcid-logo
Fraunhofer-Institut für System- und Innovationsforschung ISI  
Fan, Ying
Beihang University, School of Economics & Management
Journal
Scientific data  
Open Access
File(s)
Download (3.63 MB)
Rights
CC BY-NC-ND 4.0: Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives
DOI
10.1038/s41597-026-07327-8
10.24406/publica-9350
Additional link
Full text
Language
English
Fraunhofer-Institut für System- und Innovationsforschung ISI  
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