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Manufacturing visions - integrating diverse perspectives into Pan-European foresight (ManVis)

Delphi Interpretation Report; Deliverable D15. Contract No. NMP2-CT-2003-507139 MANVIS
 
: Arilla, C.; Armbruster, H.; Butter, M.; Dreher, C.; Johansson, B.; Jung Erceg, P.; Schirrmeister, E.; Stanworth, R.; Warnke, P.; Schmitt, S.
: Fraunhofer-Institut für System- und Innovationsforschung -ISI-, Karlsruhe

:
Volltext urn:nbn:de:0011-n-455418 (3.1 MByte PDF)
MD5 Fingerprint: 22d4eb53115039ca39b04d4c0e6893e9
Erstellt am: 22.08.2006


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Karlsruhe: Fraunhofer ISI, 2005, 269 S., 48 S.
ManVis Report, 3
 
Englisch
Bericht, Elektronische Publikation
Fraunhofer ISI ()

[]
1 Introduction S.1
- 1.1 Aim of the ManVis Project S.1-XLIX
- 1.2 ManVis Report No. 3 - Final Report S.1
Contents S.2-4
2 Dynamics and Foresight of Technological Developments in Manufacturing S.5-27
- 2.1 Dynamics of Technologies in Manufacturing and Foresight S.5-7
- 2.2 Prospects of Product Technologies S.8-11
- 2.3 Prospects of Process Technologies S.12-18
- 2.4 Prospects of Flexible Automation S.18-23
- 2.5 Summarising Messages on Technology Development S.24-27
3 Sectoral Analysis S.28-101
- 3.1 Introduction S.28-29
- 3.2 Machinery S.29-40
- 3.2.1 About the Sector S.29
- 3.2.2 The Delphi Statements S.29-30
- 3.2.3 Delphi Results S.30-39
- 3.2.4 Conclusions S.40
- 3.3 Fabricated Metal Products S.40-50
- 3.3.1 About the Sector S.40
- 3.3.2 The Delphi Statements S.41-42
- 3.3.3 Delphi Results S.42-45
- 3.3.4 Conclusions S.46-50
- 3.4 Electronics, Electrical Equipment and Instruments S.50-67
- 3.4.1 About the Sector S.50-51
- 3.4.2 The Delphi Statements S.51-54
- 3.4.3 Delphi Results S.55-64
- 3.4.4 Conclusions S.65-67
- 3.5 Rubber and Plastics S.67-79
- 3.5.1 About the Sector S.67-68
- 3.5.2 The Delphi Statements S.69-72
- 3.5.3 Delphi Results S.73-76
- 3.5.4 Conclusions S.77-79
- 3.6 Traditional Products S.79-90
- 3.6.1 About the Sector S.79
- 3.6.3 Delphi Results S.79
- 3.6.2 The Delphi Statements S.80-88
- 3.6.4 Conclusions S.89-90
- 3.7 Transport Sector S.91-101
- 3.7.1 About the Sector S.91
- 3.7.2 The Delphi Statements S.91
- 3.7.3 Delphi Results S.92-101
- 3.7.4 Conclusions S.101
4 European Manufacturing in a Global Environment S.102-123
- 4.1 European Conditions for International Competition S.102-106
- 4.1.1 Lisbon Agreement as a Baseline S.102
- 4.1.2 Demographics and Current Working Hours S.103
- 4.1.3 Different Types of Relocation - A Definition S.104-106
- 4.2 Competition on Cost S.106-109
- 4.2.1 Impact of Working Methods on Offshoring S.106
- 4.2.2 Preventing Offshoring by Automation S.107
- 4.2.3 Environmental Legislation as a Potential Driver for Offshoring S.108
- 4.2.4 Subsidising to Prevent Offshoring S.109
- 4.3 Competition on Lead-Time and Knowledge Utilization S.110-113
- 4.3.1 Outsourcing S.110-111
- 4.3.2 Local Production S.112
- 4.3.3 Lead Markets and Industry Structure S.113
- 4.4 Competing with Innovation S.114-119
- 4.4.1 Innovation in the firms S.114-116
- 4.4.2 Comparing Europe Globally on Innovation Systems S.117-119
- 4.5 Conclusions and Recommendations S.119-123
5 Manufacturing and its Contribution to Environmental Sustainability S.124-141
- 5.1 Introduction and Outline of the Chapter S.124
- 5.2 Relevance of Sustainability for the Future of European Manufacturing S.125-126
- 5.3 Overview of Delphi Results S.127-139
- 5.3.1 Demand Side Issues S.127
- 5.3.2 Relevant Statements S.128-139
- 5.4 Conclusions S.140-141
6 Managing Knowledge in European Manufacturing S.142-169
- 6.1 Introduction S.142-147
- 6.1.1 Knowledge Management and Competitiveness S.143-144
- 6.1.2 Knowledge Management Activities S.144-146
- 6.2.1 Knowledge Management Activities S.147
- 6.2 Managing Knowledge in Manufacturing across Europe S.148-165
- 6.2.2 Working Conditions for Knowledge Management Activities S.160-165
- 6.3 Summary and Conclusions S.165-169
7 Future Innovations in the Manufacturing Industry - Cross-Checking ManVis Results against other Foresight Databases S.170-200
- 7.1 Introduction S.170-172
- 7.2 Analysis S.172-190
- 7.2.1 Introduction S.172
- 7.2.2 Important Emerging Social Issues S.173-179
- 7.2.3 Key Enabling Technologies and Research Areas S.180-184
- 7.2.4 Main Innovation Themes for Industries S.184-190
- 7.3 Reflection on ManVis Statements S.191-196
- 7.3.1 Science and Technology Developments and ManVis S.191-192
- 7.3.2 Global Socio-Economic Challenges and ManVis S.193-194
- 7.3.3 Innovation Trends and ManVis S.195-196
- 7.4 Final Conclusions S.197-200
- 7.4.1 Global Socio-Economic Challenges for Manufacturing S.197
- 7.4.2 Basic Research Paradigms for the Manufacturing Industry S.197-198
- 7.4.3 Main Innovation Themes for Manufacturing S.198
- 7.4.4 Reflection on ManVis Statements S.198-199
- 7.4.5 Final Conclusions S.200
8 Demand Perspectives on Manufacturing Visions. Insights from the Stakeholder Strand S.201-227
- 8.1 Introduction S.201-202
- 8.2 Relevance of the Demand Perspective for the Future of Manufacturing - Insights from the Academic Debate S.203
- 8.3 The Demand Side Aspects Shaping the Future of Manufacturing - Results from the Stakeholder Workshop S.204-227
- 8.3.1 Challenges to manufacturing arising from new demands on products S.205-217
- 8.3.2 Challenges to Manufacturing Arising from Emerging Demands on Working, Learning and Living Patterns S.217-227
9 Differences in the Future of Manufacturing between EU Member States S.228-XLVIII
- 9.1 The Challenge of Enlargement S.228-229
- 9.2 On the Road from Resource-Based to Knowledge-Based Manufacture S.230-245
- 9.2.1 Emerging Product Technologies S.232-238
- 9.2.2 New Manufacturing Technologies S.239-241
- 9.2.3 Prospects of Flexible Automation S.242
- 9.2.4 Final Remarks S.243-245
- 9.3 Intensity of Cooperation - From Individual to System Competition S.246-263
- 9.3.1 Clusters, Networks, Cooperation S.248-256
- 9.3.2 Supporting Trends S.256-260
- 9.3.3 Conclusions S.260-263
- 9.4 Threat of Relocation of Manufacturing S.263
- 9.4.1 The Threat of Relocation S.263-267
- 9.4.2 Opposite Trends S.267
- 9.4.3 Final Remarks S.268