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Forecast models and hierarchical combined discreterate/discrete-event simulation models for parcel service networks

 
: Lang, S.; Reggelin, T.; Manner-Romberg, H.

Bottani, E.:
19th International Conference on Harbor, Maritime and Multimodal Logistics Modeling and Simulation, HMS 2017 : Barcelona, Spain, 18-20 September 2017; Held at the International Multidisciplinary Modeling and Simulation Multiconference, I3M 2017
Red Hook, NY: Curran, 2017
ISBN: 978-1-5108-4767-5
S.111-118
International Conference on Harbor, Maritime and Multimodal Logistics Modeling and Simulation (HMS) <19, 2017, Barcelona>
International Multidisciplinary Modeling and Simulation Multiconference (I3M) <14, 2017, Barcelona>
Englisch
Konferenzbeitrag
Fraunhofer IFF ()

Abstract
Parcel service providers act in a fast changing market. The annual number of dispatch orders increased continuously in the past years, because of the tremendous popularity of e-commerce. At the same time, customers are expecting shorter delivery periods and lower prices for shipment services caused by the entrance of new competitors, the intersection of potential customers of courier, express and parcel delivery service providers and the increasing service quality advertised by ecommerce market leaders. In the consequence, parcel service providers need efficient tools to keep in pace with this development. This paper presents two simulation models, which enable the user to forecast future dispatch quantities and to evaluate the performance of their delivery network in consideration of different levels of detail.

: http://publica.fraunhofer.de/dokumente/N-585468.html