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Technological development of low-carbon power technology and stability of international climate cooperation

: Duscha, Vicki; Kersting, Jan; Peterson, Sonja; Schleich, Joachim; Weitzel, Matthias

Volltext urn:nbn:de:0011-n-4189832 (520 KByte PDF)
MD5 Fingerprint: 0aaf43752bf326d1e314c2d1689acaef
Erstellt am: 5.11.2016

Karlsruhe: Fraunhofer ISI, 2016, 29 S.
Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung BMBF
01LA1127A; CORE
Cooperative regimes for future climate policy
Buch, Elektronische Publikation
Fraunhofer ISI ()
international climate regime; technological uncertainty; cooperative game theory; computable general equilibrium model

This paper explores how the technological development of key, low-carbon power technologies (photovoltaic, wind and carbon capture and storage) influences the stability of global climate cooperation under different assumptions about climate-related damages. The methodology combines cooperative game theory with a global computable general equilibrium model. Global cooperation is found to be stable only under mean or pessimistic assumptions about the development of key low-carbon power technologies and when damages are high. If the technological development is optimistic or climate damages are lower, the gains from global cooperation are not sufficient to compensate for mitigation costs, because a non-global coalition of willing countries can then achieve emission reductions close to the global optimum.