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Infrastructure investment for a transition to hydrogen automobiles

: Köhler, J.; Wietschel, M.; Whitmarsh, L.; Keles, D.; Schade, W.


Technological forecasting and social change 77 (2010), Nr.8, S.1237-1248
ISSN: 0040-1625
Fraunhofer ISI ()
transition; hydrogen automobile; infrastructure

This paper describes work undertaken in the MATISSE project to explore the potential for a sustainable hydrogen transition within Europe and the implications for infrastructure investment. Stakeholder engagement work conducted within MATISSE identified unsustainable aspects of current transport and desirable characteristics of sustainable hydrogen road transport. Key criteria were: emissions reduction, security of energy supply, affordability and economic competitiveness.
Results from the ASTRA model show that a transition to hydrogen transport fuels would have an increase in GDP, employment and investment; and growth in a number of sectors (electronic, chemical, mechanical and automotive) associated with hydrogen fuel cell technology. A hydrogen diffusion model shows that in a few years after 2040 all cars in Germany could be hydrogen driven cars. Fast build-up of a network of at least 500 filling stations (in urban areas and at highways) is very important for the market acceptance of hydrogen vehicles and compared with subsidies for vehicles and fuel the necessary investments are very small. For fuel infrastructure:
- Only a total amount of approx. 200 million Euros are necessary for infrastructure build-up in urban areas.
- Additional support is needed for installation of hydrogen filing stations on highways (approx. 100 million Euros).