Fraunhofer-Gesellschaft

Publica

Hier finden Sie wissenschaftliche Publikationen aus den Fraunhofer-Instituten.

A system dynamics approach for modelling a lead-market-based export potential

 
: Walz, R.; Helfrich, N.; Enzmann, A.

:
Volltext urn:nbn:de:0011-n-1180673 (226 KByte PDF)
MD5 Fingerprint: 15d86e31cdacc7ff1c1545f3f0e71b86
Erstellt am: 19.2.2010


Karlsruhe: Fraunhofer ISI, 2009, 27 S.
Working Paper Sustainability and Innovation, S3/2009
Englisch
Bericht, Elektronische Publikation
Fraunhofer ISI ()
renewable energy technology; Export; first-mover advantage; lead market

Abstract
For knowledge-intensive goods, foreign trade performance also depends on the quality of the technology. Important factors to consider are technological capa-bilities, various market factors which influence the chances of a country devel-oping a lead-market position, innovation-friendly regulation and the existence of internationally competitive complementary industry clusters. In order to model these aspects, various feedback mechanisms between these factors have to be taken into account, among them knowledge spillovers from the export success which lead to an erosion of a lead-market position over time. A system dynam-ics framework is used for a first implementation of a simulation model for wind energy technology exports from Germany. The empirical results show the ex-pected dynamics of the system and underline the importance of the various feedback loops.

: http://publica.fraunhofer.de/dokumente/N-118067.html