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  4. Can no-lose targets contribute to a 2°C target?
 
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2013
Journal Article
Title

Can no-lose targets contribute to a 2°C target?

Abstract
The contribution that no-lose target schemes for non-Annex I (NAI) countries could make to achieve the 2°C target is explored by accounting for the incentives of 18 NAI countries' participation in no-lose target schemes. Using various scenarios, it is shown that implementing uniform no-lose targets as part of the burden-sharing will not lead to global emissions levels compatible with the 2°C target, because uniform no-lose targets will only be beneficial to a few NAI countries. Employing more lenient uniform no-lose targets or individual no-lose targets for large emitters could increase participation by NAI countries and decrease global emissions, global compliance costs, rents by NAI countries, and compliance costs for Annex I (AI) countries. However, the resulting global emissions levels will not be compatible with attaining the 2°C target. Achieving this target will require more stringent emissions targets for AI countries and more lenient no-lose targets for NAI countries. As such, no-lose targets should account for 20% to 47% of global emissions reductions, while due to emissions trading around two-thirds of global emissions reductions should be realized in NAI countries. Indeed, an effective solution may only require no-lose targets for five to seven of the largest NAI countries.
Author(s)
Duscha, Vicki  
Schleich, Joachim  orcid-logo
Journal
Climate Policy  
DOI
10.1080/14693062.2013.763529
Language
English
Fraunhofer-Institut für System- und Innovationsforschung ISI  
Keyword(s)
  • burden-sharing

  • emission trading

  • no-lose targets

  • Post-Kyoto

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