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The exploratory analysis of trade-offs in strategic planning: Lessons from regional infrastructure foresight

: Störmer, E.; Truffer, B.; Dominguez, D.; Gujer, W.; Herlyn, A.; Hiessl, H.; Kastenholz, H.; Klinke, A.; Markard, J.; Maurer, M.; Ruef, A.


Könnölä, T.:
Future-oriented technology analysis (FTA): Impacts and implications for policy and decision making : The 2008 FTA International Seville Conference: in October 2008, the Third International Seville FTA Conference
Amsterdam: Elsevier, 2009 (Technological forecasting and social change 76.2009, Nr.9)
International Seville Conference on Future-Oriented Technology Analysis (FTA) <3, 2008, Seville>
Conference Paper, Journal Article
Fraunhofer ISI ()
regional foresight; strategic planning; participation; infrastructure

The sustainable transformation of infrastructure sectors represents a challenge of prime importance worldwide. Due to long life times of infrastructures, strategic decision making has to explicitly consider uncertainties in context conditions, value considerations and available technological alternatives. However currently, strategic infrastructure planning is often carried out in a very narrow perspective. The present paper argues that foresight informed strategic planning, allows addressing trade-offs related to context uncertainties, value conflicts and sustainability deficits in a structured way. The paper introduces a specific procedural proposal, the Regional Infrastructure Foresight method (RIF) and illustrates its potential virtues through an application to urban water management planning in a Swiss region (Kiesental).